Why India should keep away from the Quad
Rajeev Sharma
The 15th India-ASEAN Summit was
held in Manila on 14 November, 2017
which also coincided as the 25th
anniversary of India-ASEAN relations.
An important highlight of this
multilateral event involving the 10-
nation Association of South East
Nations (ASEAN) was that Prime
Minister Narendra Modi invited all the
ten leaders of the ASEAN member
countries for a commemorative
summit that will be held on 25th of
January 2018 and these ASEAN nations
would also be the Chief Guests for
India's Republic Day celebrations on
26th January 2018 – an unprecedented
diplomatic event in the annals of
India's post-independence history as
so many foreign leaders have never
been invited as chief guests for the
Republic Day.
However, yet another important
multilateral event took a rebirth on the
sidelines of the Manila summit –
revival of the four-nation Strategic
Quadrilateral, known simply as the
Quadrilateral or the Quad, involving
the US, Japan, Australia and India. The
Quad was relaunched at senior
officials' level on the sidelines of the
Manila summit which, strategically
speaking, eclipsed the main events like
the India-ASEAN Summit.
The Quad 2.0 is a completely
different ball game. It is much
different from the original Quad
involving the same powers in 2007
which was eventually aborted the
same year by Australia at the behest of
China. The irony is that this time
Australia seems to be in a somewhat
repentant mode and Japan and the US
are as pro-active about the concept as
they were a decade ago, but this time
around India doesn't seem to be as
much enthused.
Australia tried its best a few months
ago to get entry into the Malabar
exercises this year in which India, US
and Japan participated. However, India
put it's foot down and kept Australia
shut out.
The result is too evident. One,
Narendra Modi at ASEAN
Moreover, India has been quite
wary of its involvement with the Quad
powers, largely because it doesn't
want the Quad play out as a zero sum
game to keep China at bay. India
doesn't want to annoy its giant
contiguous neighbour for obvious
reasons.
India has been acting as a virtual
outlier and not sharing data and
communication systems of its overall
military and most of its Russian-made
ships and warplanes with the Quad
powers.
India has been conducting virtually
all of its naval exercises with foreign
powers through voice and text
commands with rudimentary SMSstyle
data exchange. The defence
communications during these wargames are done mostly through
voice transmission without any
satellite link that would allow the two
navies to access information and share
monitor displays in on-board
command centres.
Most significantly, India sends its
Russian-acquired Sukhoi jets to the
drills with their radars and jammers
turned off. This is to prevent the US
and other powers from getting access
to India's encrypted communications
equipment and systems.
It's not for nothing, after all, that
India had last year signed a military
logistics pact with the United States
after a decade of wrangling, but two
other agreements were stonewalled.
These were: the Communication and
Information Security Memorandum of
Agreement (CISMOA) and the Basic
Exchange and Cooperation
Agreement, which would set a
framework through which the US
could share sensitive data to aid
targeting and navigation with India.
New Delhi is concerned that
agreeing to the CISMOA would open
up its military communications to the
United States, and even allow it to
listen in on operations where Indian
and US interests may not coincide -
such as against arch-rival Pakistan.
The Quad may be good for the
American and Japanese national
security interests, but not necessarily
for India. New Delhi would do well to
keep away from the Quad till the other
three involved powers give specific
reasons to India of its relevance for
India. And that hasn't happened yet!