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FRANKLY SPEAKING
Dealing with "Cowboy" Donald Trump ahead
"To confront a mind that radically
alters our perception of the
world," wrote James Peck in The
Chomsky Reader, "is one of life's
most unsettling yet liberating
experiences. Unsettling because it can
undercut carefully constructed
rationals and liberating because at last
the obvious is seen for what is."
Hillary Clinton's Painful Concession After Election Defeat
According to the Brookings
Institution's Darrell West, there are at least 10 larger-than-life billionaires
who are politically the most powerful.
They range from media mogulas to
high-profile philanthropists to serving
cabinet members who are major
factors in guiding and directing
American political thought process. The New York billionaire, a rank outsider with no experience in public office, right-wing Donald Trump has, in a way, brought about one of the biggest upsets in American history, defeating very experienced Hillary Clinton in a highly toxic campaign. Interestingly, in a conciliatory note after his victory, Trump, for once, praised Hillary for her "years of public service." This is politics ! The New York billionaire, a rank outsider with no experience in public office, right-wing Donald Trump has, in a way, brought about one of the biggest upsets in American history, defeating very experienced Hillary Clinton in a highly toxic campaign. Interestingly, in a conciliatory note after his victory, Trump, for once, praised Hillary for her "years of public service." This is politics ! Trump cleverly cashed in on the anger of America's white working class workers who are said to have suffered job losses. He also reached out to rural 'middle America'. Whether one likes it or not, his populist rhetoric on illegal immigration, globalization, unfair trade practices, Islamic terrorism threat, contempt for civility, decency and "cowboy" style of politics gave him rich dividends electorally, despite losing popular vote. Trump understood well the volatile public mood against the out-of-touch established order which, a section of the population felt, was taking America in the wrong direction on several critical areas of governance and policies. In contrast to the status-quoist image of Democratic Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, like India's Narendra Modi of 2014, successfully projected himself as "an agent of change" in the face of not-so-friendly media. In the process, he even proved America's pollsters and political pundits wrong! The moot point now is : will the Donald Trump presidency continue to be divisive and unpredictable as he was during his poll campaign period ? We need not take an alarmist view of unknown factors of tomorrow. It also must not be overlooked that the US has a well-entrenched bureaucracy in the State Department and the Pentagon. It ensures basic continuity in critical defence and strategic areas of American policies. Even Trump's some of proposed changes would be tested on the touchstone of the Pentagon policy framework. To say this is not to minimize the importance of the Trump presidency. As it is, the President-elect has promised a lot which, if acted upon fully, will have wide-ranging consequences both in the US and the world over. Of course, he will be expected to honour certain key promises held out to the working class on the jobs front and stagnant incomes. The rest will be matters of hard calculations once he occupies the Oval Office on January 20. Of course, there are several areas where things could change under a President Donald Trump. He has opposed certain trade deals and threatened punitive 45 per cent tariffs on goods from China. Trump has reservation on Obama's deal with Iran. He wants Japan and South Korea to develop nuclear arsenals. He has also called global warming a hoax and vowed to cancel the Paris climate accord. He has promised a "tax revolution", pledging to cut taxes across the board. We will have to wait and watch how he goes about the business of change. As it is, after a no-holds-bar campaign, Trump has already struck a conciliatory note. He has tried to reach out opponents for "guidance". He has also promised to "bind the wounds of division, unify our great country, and be president for all Americans." He has pledged to "deal fairly with everyone" and get along with all other nations willing to get along with us." We will have to wait and watch. The main point of worry for Trump watchers will be his penchant for unpredictability. As for India, he has given the impression of being India friendly, though has often exhibited a double standard on certain matters concerning India. We have keep our fingers crossed and see how Trump gives shape to his poll-time rhetoric. I believe that the new President would further strengthen special ties with India built over the years, especially during the Obama presidency. On one hand, he has hailed the Hindu community in the US for "fantastic contributions to world civilization and to American culture and said that "we look forward to celebrating our shared values of free enterprise, hard work, family values and a strong American foreign policy" On the other hand, his hardline on immigration could have a negative impact on Indian software professionals, now dominating the Silicon Valley.
Barack Obama
Equally crucial will be the US
president-elect's "hawkish" trade policy of "America First" and cut
in the US corporate tax from 35 per
cent to 15 per cent. This will
prompt American companies like
Microsoft, Ford, GM rushing back
to the US. This will hit Modi's dream concept of "Make-in-India."
Be that as it may.The policy-makers in New Delhi will have to work out a new policy framework for the Trump presidency to push India's vital economic and strategic interests while keeping in view Donald Trump's domestic sensitivities, priorities and upredicability ! |