Electric vehicle is
the answer
Elsa Lycias Joel
Thomas Edison and an electric car in 1913
As far as developed countries are
concerned, electric vehicle (EVs)
aren't anything new as we consider
them to be. They have a long history
starting from
the 1830s when
scale model electric
vehicles were built. As per
records, London and New
York had fleets of electric
cars in 1897. The
production of EVs ceased
by mid 1920s and it
restarted in a big way by
the oil crisis of the 1970s.
The vision electric vehicle
paves way for a new world
order. India, like many
other developing and
developed countries, is
ready for any change that
augurs well for itself and for the rest of the
world. Though the change in mood is less
dramatic, India seems to head in a similar
direction. Cursed with a choking capital, people also believe, it is indeed time for a change as
India imports 82 per cent of its oil
requirements, bulk of which is demanded by the
automobile industry.
With emissions from
diesel and petrol run
vehicles making up a large
proportion greenhouse
gases in the atmosphere,
many countries are
deliberating on hybrid and
fully electric vehicles.
Sadly, 95 per cent of
electric cars are sold only in
ten countries out of the 195
odd countries of the world.
Banning combustion
engines becomes easier
when government works
on giving considerable
incentives, subsidies and
tax breaks too, to purchasers of electric
vehicles. Only then the LED moment of
transport will become a reality. However, the
extent to which this may occur varies greatly by country, in terms of how the demand for
additional electricity for electric vehicles can be
accommodated.
Given the higher prices of petrol and diesel
and the arguments that support it do not
mention anything about pushing the consumer
towards cleaner or alternate fuels. Thus, it is left
to the consumers to decide if
higher prices are meant to
reform the energy usage
pattern. Will our country's
polity be bothered about the
disruption of both the
existing business processes
and value chain of the
automobile and petroleum
sector? Are our politicians
not worried about their
cronies who are grappling
with the prospect of an
eventual peak in oil demand
with billion dollar
investments at stake?
Once the existing fleets of petrol-diesel
powered vehicles retire, what will become of the
Indian petroleum refining industry, in addition
to massive job losses? Modi's vision to helm a
renewable-energy revolution in the country, a
reckoning that the automobile sector's massive
conversion will cut its oil bill by some $60
billion, reduce emissions by 37 per cent and
curb the burgeoning demand for road
infrastructure over the next 13 years does not
complement the fact that India's oil import
volumes increased by 5 per cent from 202.8
million metric tonnes (mmt) in 2015-16 to 213.9
mmt in 2016-17.
Anyway, not to be left behind,
our government, too, is aspiring towards
electric mobility and a 12 per cent GST on
electric vehicles against a 43 per cent on hybrid
cars seems appreciable. One valid argument
against this taxing is that hybrid technologies
pave the way, towards environment-friendly
goals and moving the transport sector solely on
electricity by 2030. Given the 57,000-odd
petrol/diesel outlets against the 1094 CNG
outlets, a sudden shift towards achieving
structural changes in the energy sector and
thereby in the economy as such might be a
nightmare.
Again, electric vehicles as a key strategy in
fighting climate change make sense only if they
are powered by low- carbon electricity. Lower emissions of CO2 should not mean higher
emissions from the associated fossil fuel
combustion in the electricity-generating sector.
Unless our government subsidise battery and
lithium imports in addition to incentivising
companies that set up this business, this vision
will have its limitations.
Just as Delhi CM Arvind
Kejriwal borrowed the idea
of road space rationing to
control air pollution and
made it work successfully,
any effort with larger public
interest will definitely turn
out to be a phenomenal
success.
Before our government
rolls out a national policy
on EVs, it must make sure
that the support
infrastructure, like
additional grid
reinforcement or
implementation of specific
'smart charging'
approaches, might be
required to ensure an
efficient and flexible
electricity generation and
distribution infrastructure
by predicting consumer
psychology as well. In spite of the whole
proposition looking unviable, our government is
determined to push ahead because our leaders
like to embrace challenges and not duck, come
what may.
We can only wish that in the long run,
regulatory cholesterol doesn't cripple the
private sector from performing on this. Take for
example, the tech sector. A decade on and it's
still providing relatively simple IT services,
mainly the same back-office operations it
started with and the number of new jobs it's
creating is relatively small.
Just as Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal borrowed the
idea of road space rationing to control air
pollution and made it work successfully, any
effort with larger public interest will definitely
turn out to be a phenomenal success.
We are all aware that our leaders just know
and find many ways to solve pressing issues but
it would be perfect if they go that way and thus
help us follow. In this context, replacing the
existing government vehicles would be a move,
worthy enough of emulation by the general
public.
If or not we are hinging on other countries
adopting climate policies, this switching over
will have an enormous effect on automobile
industries, oil markets and of course the global
efforts to slow down climate change.
Meanwhile, "who killed the electric car"
remains to be a must watch.