What's Mamata
up to ?
Subhrangshu
Gupta
Mamata Banerjee
The CPI(M) at its central
committee meeting in
Kolkata on January 25 had
rejected Sitaram Yechury's
proposal for forging a
political understanding
with the Congress against the BJP
though the party leadership agreed
that the saffron party had become a
threat to the country's unity and
integrity. The matter will have to rediscussed
in the forthcoming party
congress.
TMC supremo Mamata Banerjee
also skipped Sonia Gandhi's all-party
meeting on February 1 in the capital.
The meeting was called for finalizing
a joint strategy both in Parliament
and outside against the BJP.
Mamata, however, sent Derek O'
Brien, the party's Rayya Sabha leader
at the meeting as her emissary for
keeping her option free in the future
on the issue.
TMC supremo Mamata
Banerjee skipped Sonia
Gandhi's all-party meeting
on February 1. The
meeting was called for
finalizing a joint strategy
both in Parliament and
outside against the BJP.
Only three days ago, she also skipped another similar anti-BJP meet
called by the NCP leader, Sharad
Pawer. Pawer was present at Sonia's
meeting , which among others, was
attended by the NC leader Farooq
Abdulla, the RJD's Jaiprakash Narayan
Yadav( Lallu Yadav in now in jail), D
Raja(CPI), Ramgopal Yadav (SP), Ajit
Singh(RLD), former prime minister
Manmohan Singh. But no one was
present from AAP, Mayawati's BSP,
Naveen Patnaik's BJD and the CPI(M).
The BJP suffered a major set-back
in Rajasthan in the recently held byelections
for the Lok Sabha seats at
Ajmer and Alwar which the party lost
to the Congress. The party's
popularity also was much eroded in
several other states because of its
harsh communal policy and faulty
economic, fiscal and monetary
decisions added with the disastrous
demonitisation steps.
A section in the party's leadership
started realizing that the Modi magic
At present, Mamata's
relation with AAP is not all
sweet. Kejriwal has not
whole-heartedly come
forward to join hand with
her against the BJP and
the Congress. JD(U) leader
Sharad Yadav still has
been Mamata's supporter .
RJP leader Lallu Yadav
also supported Mamata
openly.
Sharad Yadav and Lallu Yadav
But Mayawati,
Naveen Patnaik and
others are unwilling to
accept Mamata's
leadership.
of 2014 was nowhere evident now.
They feel that unless the party
changes its policies on various social,
economic, financial matters, it will be
difficult for them to sustain any mass
support in the coming state elections
and 2019 Lok Sabha polls.
But the BJP had considerably
gained the public support in the
eastern states, particularly, in Assam,
Odissa and West Bengal. In West
Bengal, the party has established its
position as the main opposition part,
replacing the Congress and the
CPI(M). This has been a cause of
concern for both these parties.
The BJP's rise in Bengal has
been disturbing the TMC. Mamata,
now and then , is raising " jehad"
against BJP and the RSS . She is also
inviting all like-minded and secular
parties to be united against
Narendra Modi. The CPI(M) central
leadership has not responded
well. Some Congressmen in
Bengal are not eager to accept
Mamata's leadership. Leaders of
other regional parties also are not
willing to accept Mamata's
leadership.
Mayawati and Naveen Patnaik
Prior to 2014 poll, Mamata once
tried to establish herself as a national
leader and accordingly, she had
mobilized the support of several
regional parties against the BJP and
the Congress. She got the blessings of
Anna Hazare. But on the question of
her leadership and the future prime
ministership, Anna backed out.
Anna also did not acknowledge
and accept Arvind Kejriwal's political
leadership whom he once accepted
in his dharna manch in Delhi in his
campaign against corruption and all
other ill-practices in the society.
Rahul Gandhi and Sunil Jakhar
At present, Mamata's relation
with AAP is not all sweet. Kejriwal
has not whole-heartedly come
forward to join hand with her
against the BJP and the Congress.
JD(U) leader Sharad Yadav still has
been Mamata's supporter. RJP leader
Lallu Yadav also supported Mamata
openly. But Mayawati, Naveen
Patnaik and others are unwilling to accept Mamata's leadership.
Mamata also did not open her
mouth on the question of accepting
Rahul Gandhi's leadership ( prime
ministership) .
Mamata says she is not for the
prime minister's chair. She is not
campaigning and mobilizing support
from other parties for that goal. But
she very much wants that the BJP and
RSS raj should come to end forthwith
and the country be saved from a
great disaster.
But Mamata knows it well that it
will not be an easy task for her and
other secular parties to remove the
BJP from power.
The two major parties, the
Congress and the BJP, are now busy in
preparing themselves for the coming
state polls Karnataka, Madhya
Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and
Mizoram. Elections in all these states
will be held in 2018 and 2019 prior to
the Lok Sabha poll in 2019.
The Lok Sabha will retire on June 3,
2019 and its elections will have to be
held in April-May. The next Assembly
polls will be due in some states like
Maharashtra, Arunachal Pradesh,
Telenghana, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh,
Haryana and Sikkim in 2019.
In the elections in 2016 and 2017,
the BJP won in Assam, UP,
Uttarakhand and Goa, while in
Puducherry, Punjab, Manipur , the
Congress won. The ADMK won in
Tamil Nadu, the LDF in Kerala and the
TMC in West Bengal.
Of the total 29 states, the
ruling BJP has been controlling,
directly or indirectly, some 18 states.
Amit Shah claims they will fulfill
their target of 350 seats ( total
543 plus 2)in the Lok Sabha in
2019 polls.
But the results of the recently held
by polls and the elections in the civic
and different local bodies, including
the panchayats, indicate somewhat a
gloomy picture for the BJP. However,
does the BJP triumph in the
North-East, especially in Tripura,
change that gloomy setting ? It does,
for the present.